Republican primary race emboldens Obama
Washington – President Barack Obama has long relished a dragged-out Republican primary contest that would leave the eventual Republican nominee battered before the automn election.
He might be getting his wish, a prospect that is firing up Democrats, galvanising their ranks and boosting fundraising pitches and requests for volunteers.
“They’ve awakened some sleeping giants,” said Ira Leesfield, a longtime Democratic fundraiser. He said he watched the negative Republican ads and said “it put me into high gear”.
As the Republican voting shifts to contests in the Midwest and West, front-runner Mitt Romney’s chief rival, Newt Gingrich, is attacking him at every turn and pledging to stay in the race well into the spring.
And Romney is paying a price for it: The former Massachusetts governor’s negative perceptions among voters have climbed in recent weeks, a trend that could hurt him in a general election matchup with Obama as the general election approaches in November.
“The Florida primary will be a turning point in this race – the other side is looking at what could be months of brutal, negative tactics that turn people off to politics altogether,” Obama campaign manager Jim Messina said in a fundraising pitch to supporters.
Extra time for Obama
The Obama campaign’s most recent fundraising report showed it had more than $80m in the bank, a healthy sum for the coming year.
Democrats – and Obama specifically – are no stranger to drawn-out fights. Hillary Clinton didn’t drop out of the previous presidential race in 2008 until June of that year.
Obama’s team is trying to take advantage of the extra time in this election year, using the next several weeks to focus on his best political asset: Being president. As Republicans grind toward having a nominee, Obama is filling his time with a post-State of the Union agenda underscoring the themes of his re-election bid.
That means pushing ideas with mainstream appeal, like helping struggling families refinance their homes or pay for the kids’ college education.
It also means not directly engaging Romney for now because to do so would make Obama look more like a presidential candidate than the man running the country. But that has not stopped Obama from making not-so-subtle digs at Romney this week for his views on the auto industry bailout and home foreclosures.
Democrats still have plenty of bad news on their side. The nation’s unemployment rate has consistently topped 8% during Obama’s presidency. A Gallup survey showed Obama’s approval ratings dropping in North Carolina, Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida, all critical to his re-election. In New Hampshire, which Obama carried in 2008, he had an approval rating of about 38%.
But Romney’s negative ratings have climbed in recent weeks. Polling by NBC News and The Wall Street Journal showed that 36% had a negative feeling toward Romney, compared with 31% having positive feelings.
A separate poll by ABC News and The Washington Post found 49% had a negative impression of Romney, a jump of nearly 20 points since September.
Democrats point to a growing storyline about Romney’s work as a top executive for Bain Capital, a private equity firm, and soft support among ardent conservatives.
Obama deputy campaign manager Stephanie Cutter noted in a memo on Wednesday that a recent Pew Research poll found nearly 3 in 5 Republican primary voters wanted another candidate to enter the race.
“You’ve got a lot of Republicans who are disenchanted with the ‘supposed’ nominee in Mitt Romney,” said Morgan Jackson, a Democratic strategist.
Romney, addressing supporters in Florida after his big win there on Tuesday, dismissed suggestions that a lengthy primary fight would hurt his party’s chances in the fall.
“A competitive primary does not divide us, it prepares us, and we will win,” he said.
But Gingrich gave no indication of bowing out anytime soon. His campaign even distributed signs at his Florida primary night rally that declared, “46 States to Go”.